economy

The fall of a giant: Saks Global and the structural crisis of luxury retail in the United States

The American luxury ecosystem is going through one of the most delicate moments in its recent history. Saks Global, the group formed after the integration of Saks Fifth Avenue and Neiman Marcus, is preparing to seek protection under Chapter 11 of the U.S. bankruptcy code. This move goes far beyond a financial adjustment and raises fundamental questions about the future of high-end physical retail.

The United States Sets the Pace for Luxury in 2026: From Product to Experience

2026 is shaping up as a year of recalibration for the global luxury industry, with moderate yet steady growth driven primarily by the United States. After a period of global adjustment, leading luxury houses are refocusing their strategies on a market that combines purchasing power, cultural influence and a strong appetite for experience-led consumption.

China Reinforces Its Foreign Trade Law: What the 2026 Reform Means for Global Luxury, Digital Commerce and Strategic Supply Chains

China has approved a sweeping revision of its Foreign Trade Law that will come into force in March 2026, marking one of the most ambitious updates to the country’s trade framework in more than two decades. The reform equips Beijing with broader legal instruments to manage external trade pressure, accelerate digital and green commerce, and redefine the rules of engagement for foreign brands operating in or with the Chinese market.
For the luxury industry, the implications go far beyond regulation. This is a structural recalibration of how China positions itself within global value chains, digital trade flows and geopolitical commerce dynamics.
A law designed for a fragmented global trade era
The revised law strengthens the Chinese government’s ability to respond to what it defines as “unfair trade practices” and external restrictions. Authorities will be empowered to deploy countermeasures, adjust export controls, and intervene more decisively when supply chains, strategic industries or national economic interests are perceived to be at risk.
While the text avoids explicit country references, the context is clear: China is preparing for prolonged trade volatility and accelerating decoupling scenarios in selected sectors. This new legal backbone gives policymakers flexibility to act rapidly, rather than relying on ad hoc administrative measures.
From a luxury perspective, this means greater predictability at the policy level, but also higher expectations of compliance, transparency and digital traceability for brands moving goods, data and capital across borders.
Digital trade moves to the center
One of the most transformative aspects of the reform is the formal integration of digital trade into China’s foreign trade governance. The law explicitly supports cross-border digital services, electronic documentation, digital signatures and platform-based trade mechanisms.
For luxury brands, this reinforces China’s ambition to become a global reference point for digitally enabled commerce, especially in areas such as:

Cross-border e-commerce and bonded warehouses

Digital customs clearance and smart logistics

Online luxury retail targeting Chinese consumers abroad and at home

This evolution aligns with China’s broader push to shape international digital trade standards, potentially influencing future negotiations within bodies such as the World Trade Organization.
Green trade and sustainability as regulatory infrastructure
The revised law also embeds green trade into the legal architecture of foreign commerce. This includes incentives and regulatory pathways for environmentally efficient logistics, sustainable production and low-carbon trade practices.
For luxury houses increasingly judged on ESG performance, China is signaling that sustainability will no longer be a reputational add-on, but part of the operational baseline. Brands unable to document environmental compliance across sourcing, manufacturing and logistics may face friction as regulatory scrutiny intensifies.
In practical terms, sustainability reporting, product traceability and verified green certifications are likely to become essential to maintain market agility in China over the next decade.
Intellectual property: protection and responsibility
The law reinforces intellectual property protection while simultaneously demanding stronger enforcement cooperation from foreign operators. This dual approach reflects China’s desire to be seen as both a defender of innovation and a regulator that expects proactive compliance.
Luxury brands benefit from stronger legal tools against counterfeiting, yet they will also face higher obligations to:

Register and defend trademarks and designs locally

Monitor distribution channels more actively

Respond swiftly to regulatory or judicial requests

The message is clear: China wants global brands deeply embedded in its legal ecosystem, not operating at arm’s length.
Strategic zones and the role of Hainan
Special trade zones, particularly Hainan, remain central to China’s luxury strategy. Duty-free retail, cross-border consumption and pilot digital trade frameworks position the island as a living laboratory for the new law’s ambitions.
For luxury groups, Hainan continues to serve as a bridge between domestic demand and international brand positioning, with regulatory experimentation that may later be scaled nationwide.
What luxury leaders should prepare for now
Although implementation begins in 2026, strategic preparation must start immediately. The revised Foreign Trade Law reshapes the operating environment in four decisive ways:

Compliance becomes strategic – legal, digital and sustainability frameworks converge

Digital infrastructure is no longer optional – trade, data and logistics must be integrated

Supply chains require geopolitical resilience – agility will outweigh cost optimization

China’s market logic evolves – access remains vast, but expectations rise

For luxury executives, China is not closing its doors. It is redesigning the entrance.
The brands that thrive will be those that understand the law not as a constraint, but as a blueprint for how China envisions its role in global commerce: technologically advanced, environmentally disciplined and strategically autonomous.
As global trade fragments and consumption patterns shift, this reform positions China to shape the next chapter of international luxury exchange—on its own terms.

LUXONOMY REPORT: The Future of Luxury 2030

LUXONOMY has released its new strategic report “The Future of Luxury 2030”, an extensive analysis revealing the forces that will reshape the global luxury industry over the next decade. The document explores in depth the evolution of the high-end consumer, the expansion of luxury in Asia, the rise of wellness as a new status symbol, the emergence of digital meta-luxury, the impact of sustainability, and the economic outlook for each sector: fashion, watches, automotive, travel, real estate, art, technology, and hospitality.

With the LUXONOMY PREMIUM subscription, access this Report FOR FREE.

The Next Luxury Revolution: 2025 Marks the Rise of AI-Driven Maisons

2025 will be remembered as the year luxury stopped discussing AI and began building with it, designing with it, and growing through it.

This raises a bold question for the coming decade:

Which maison will become the world’s first brand co-designed with an algorithm?

Luxury Slows Down and Moves Into a New Era — What to Expect in 2026

The global luxury sector closes 2025 with a clear message: this is not a collapse,…

China Reignites Global Luxury: Demand Surges as Local Premium Brands Rise

After two years of volatility, China is once again entering an expansion phase that is reshaping the global luxury landscape. In 2026, the country regains its position as one of the sector’s most powerful growth engines, driven by young consumers, a renewed appetite for premium experiences, and the rise of a new generation of local luxury brands.

Bain & Altagamma: Luxury Enters a Phase of Contraction Before an Expected Rebound in 2026

The personal luxury goods market — including handbags, fashion, jewelry, beauty, watches and accessories — is expected to close 2025 at around €358 billion, slightly below 2024 levels. The analysis suggests that 2025 will be a year of stabilization after several cycles marked by price hikes, economic uncertainty and more cautious spending habits.

The 10 Forces That Will Redefine Luxury and Fashion in 2026

The global luxury and fashion industry enters 2026 facing an environment where long-established rules no longer apply. Market stability is shifting, consumers are becoming more complex, and brands must navigate a world where technology, wellbeing, creativity and efficiency intersect. McKinsey and The Business of Fashion identify ten forces that will guide this new stage.

HOW CHINA’S YOUNGEST CONSUMERS ARE RESHAPING LUXURY: GEN Z & ALPHA FUEL THE RISE OF LOCAL PREMIUM BRANDS

China’s luxury market is living through a historic shift. After two turbulent years, its youngest…

KERING UNDER LUCA DE MEO: THE “RECONKERING” PLAN THAT AIMS TO REDEFINE THE GROUP’S FUTURE

November 18, 2025 marked a turning point for Kering. An internal memo circulated by Luca…

The Global Luxury Market Enters a Phase of Strategic Moderation

After a decade of uninterrupted growth, the global luxury industry is entering a new cycle defined by prudence, redefined value, and long-term sustainability. According to McKinsey & Company’s State of Luxury 2025 report, annual growth for the sector is expected to slow to between 1% and 3% through 2027, signaling the end of the post-pandemic boom and the beginning of a more selective, value-driven era.

Experiential Luxury Grows 8% to Reach $103 Billion in 2025

Luxury is no longer defined by what you own, but by what you experience. According to Euromonitor International and Bain & Company, the experiential luxury segment — including exclusive travel, hospitality, wellness, gastronomy, and immersive retail — grew 8% in 2025, reaching an estimated $103 billion.

Gen Z Fuels the Global Luxury Fragrance Boom

Perfume has become the new symbol of status among young consumers. According to Circana and Reuters, households with at least one Gen Z member now account for 38% of global fragrance spending, marking a shift in the core of beauty and luxury consumption.

China’s Luxury Market Rebounds — But Consumers Want Meaning, Not Status

After several volatile years, China’s luxury spending is rebounding — yet not returning to its…

Saudi Arabia Builds a $63 Billion Luxury Heritage Empire

The Diriyah Company (DCO) is accelerating the creation of one of the world’s most ambitious luxury developments, valued at US $63.2 billion. Part of the Saudi Vision 2030 strategy, the project transforms the historic At-Turaif district into a global hub for culture, heritage, and luxury living.

Young Consumers and Luxury: Spending Under the Microscope

The luxury industry is entering a phase of reflection. After years of record expansion driven by aspirational consumers, the younger generations —Gen Z and early millennials— are redefining their relationship with luxury. It is no longer about possession, but about justifying the value of every purchase.

According to the Bain-Altagamma 2025 report, the sector is experiencing a “healthy slowdown” after years of euphoria, showing flat or slightly negative growth. Luxury houses are recalibrating: focusing less on volume and more on purpose, profitability, and genuine emotional connection with the client.

CAPRI HOLDINGS AT A CROSSROADS: BETWEEN RESTRUCTURING AND REBIRTH

Luxury group Capri Holdings Limited, owner of Versace, Michael Kors, and Jimmy Choo, has released its financial results for the second quarter of fiscal year 2026 — a turning point in its global strategy and positioning within the competitive world of accessible luxury.

Accessible Luxury Faces a Pivotal Week: Capri, Tapestry, and Ralph Lauren to Report Q2 Results

The accessible luxury sector —that delicate balance between aspiration and attainability— is heading into a decisive week as Capri Holdings, Tapestry Inc., and Ralph Lauren Corporation prepare to unveil their latest quarterly results, offering valuable insight into the state of U.S. premium consumption.

Kering Launches Strategic Review of Alexander McQueen amid Profit Decline

The review includes a 20 % reduction in McQueen’s London-based staff and has fueled speculation of a potential creative restructuring or partial divestment, according to industry sources close to the matter.

Ferrari to report third-quarter 2025 results on November 4

Under CEO Benedetto Vigna, Ferrari maintains its guidance for the year, with operating margins above 30 %, confirming its status as the world’s most profitable car brand. Investors will closely watch updates on its electrification strategy, the new solar-powered Maranello plant, and the expansion of its high-margin Tailor Made customization program.

L’Oréal acquires Kering’s beauty division for €4 billion

French cosmetics powerhouse L’Oréal has reached a landmark agreement to acquire Kering’s beauty division, which includes iconic fashion houses Gucci, Balenciaga, Bottega Veneta, and Alexander McQueen, for approximately €4 billion (US $4.7 billion).

LVMH Leads Luxury Rally with Historic Surge Driven by China

The announcement triggered a market-wide rally: LVMH shares soared as much as 14% on October 15, lifting the entire sector and adding roughly US $80 billion in market value to the STOXX Europe Luxury 10 Index, which tracks Europe’s leading luxury groups. Brands such as Hermès, Richemont, and Kering also rose between 5% and 8% in the wake of the news.

PRADA REPORTS 9% REVENUE GROWTH IN THE FIRST NINE MONTHS OF 2025, DRIVEN BY MIU MIU AND CHINA’S RECOVERY

The main growth engine was Miu Miu, which delivered an impressive +29% retail sales growth in Q3, consolidating its position as one of the most dynamic brands in global luxury. In contrast, the Prada brand recorded a slight 2% decline in retail sales over the nine-month period.

EssilorLuxottica Hits Record Highs Driven by Ray-Ban Meta Smart Glasses

On October 17, shares surged by 14 %, adding more than $20 billion in market value. In its third-quarter 2025 report, the company announced revenues of €6.87 billion, representing an 11.7 % growth at constant exchange rates — its strongest performance on record.

Record Gold Prices in India Push Festive Buyers Toward Coins and Bullion Over Jewelry

Record Gold Prices in India Push Festive Buyers Toward Coins and Bullion Over Jewelry.
As India enters the festival of Dhanteras, marking the beginning of Diwali, gold prices have reached an unprecedented level — exceeding ₹132,000 per 10 grams (≈ US $1,585) in certain regional markets.

Kering Nears $4 Billion Sale of Its Beauty Division to L’Oréal

Kering Nears $4 Billion Sale of Its Beauty Division to L’Oréal.
If finalized, the deal would stand among the most significant luxury transactions of 2025, redrawing the boundaries between the worlds of couture and cosmetics.

EU Fines Gucci, Chloé, and Loewe €157 Million for Resale Price Fixing

According to the official statement, the brands restricted independent retailers from setting their own prices or offering discounts, in an effort to preserve brand exclusivity and profit margins. The practice, which violates EU competition law, effectively prevented fair price competition and limited consumer choice.

Galeries Lafayette Expands to India With a Flagship Store in Mumbai

French luxury retailer Galeries Lafayette will open its first Indian flagship this November in Mumbai’s historic Kala Ghoda district, marking one of its boldest international moves in years.

LVMH Returns to Growth Driven by Sephora, Though Luxury Momentum Remains Fragile

LVMH closed the third quarter of 2025 with revenues of €18.28 billion, reflecting a modest +1% year-on-year increase after several months of contraction.

LVMH Leads Luxury Rebound as China Demand Recovers, While EU Fines Gucci, Chloé and Loewe for Price-Fixing

The European luxury sector is experiencing a month of contrasts. While LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton surprised markets with a return to growth in Q3 2025, driven by a rebound in Chinese demand, the European Commission has imposed heavy fines on Gucci, Chloé, and Loewe for retail price-fixing practices.

Global luxury market trends 2025‑2027: generational and regional analysis

The luxury market is entering a phase of moderate growth after several years of rapid expansion. Global luxury revenues should grow at a rate of 2 %–4 % per year between 2025 and 2027. Leather goods and jewellery will be the fastest‑growing categories (4 %–6 % per year), while high‑spending clients will generate 65 %–80 % of the growth. 2024 marked a turning point: the market remained practically flat (≈ €1.48 trillion) and personal goods declined by 2 %, while experiences (hotels, dining, travel and yachts) were the only categories to grow. China’s slowdown – where luxury sales fell 18 %–20 % in 2024 and 2025 is expected to be flat – and macro headwinds in Europe are dampening growth, although recovery could arrive in the second half of 2025.
This report delves into the figures and global trends to provide a structured analysis by segment, region and generation, as well as a review of the leading brands and companies in the sector.

The Personal Luxury Market Faces a Turning Point: Only Purpose-Driven Brands Will Thrive

The global personal luxury market appears to have reached a decisive inflection point. After nearly a decade of uninterrupted growth, analysts now predict a 5% contraction in 2025, following the modest 2% decline already recorded in 2024. The slowdown marks the end of an era of effortless expansion and signals the beginning of a new phase defined by selectivity, authenticity, and purpose.

LVMH to Announce Q3 2025 Revenues After Paris Market Close; Jewelry Margins Under Pressure Amid Record Gold Prices

LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton is set to release its third-quarter 2025 revenue after the Paris stock market closes on October 14, with a live audio webcast scheduled at 6:00 p.m. CET. According to the company’s investor relations site, all related materials will be made available just before the presentation.

This update comes at a delicate time for the luxury conglomerate. The spot price of gold reached a historic high of USD 4,078 per ounce on October 13, adding margin pressure to LVMH’s Watches & Jewelry division, which includes Tiffany & Co., Bulgari, Chaumet, and TAG Heuer.

European Luxury Stocks Rally as Investor Confidence Returns

After months of stagnation, European luxury equities surged this week, driven by renewed investor optimism…

Luxury Expands Eastward: New Acquisitions and Market Entrances Redefine the Global Map

This week marked a series of strategic expansions that underscore a clear trend: the center…